Migrant Caravan Headed to the Border Expected to Arrive in Del Rio, Texas, or Yuma, Arizona

Picture from Jan 2021

According to Border Patrol officials familiar with federal intelligence files, several thousand migrants traveling to the United States through southern Mexico are likely to end up in Del Rio, Texas, or Yuma, Arizona.

The Washington Examiner reports that between 2,000 and 3,000 migrants crossed the Guatemala-Mexico border on foot, moving north.

The migrants will first go to Mexico City, a trek of 800 miles that will take weeks unless they find transportation. The caravan has traveled approximately 25 miles in four days. Depending on whether they are escorted by smugglers or travel alone to cross the U.S. border illegally, the group could split onto different routes from Mexico City.

In an email, one border agent wrote that Border Patrol intelligence will have a clearer sense of where the migrants aim to cross when they leave Mexico City.

Border Patrol’s parent agency, CBP, employs approximately 1,000 people internationally who help track and alert their American counterparts when big groups of migrants are expected to arrive. The agent also claimed that the caravan may avoid Texas “because of the political climate” and that California “would be much more welcoming.”

Former Customs and Border Protection commissioner Mark Morgan told the Examiner:

“Historically, what we’ve seen is the caravan will get to Mexico City, and then, they’ll start to splinter out, and they’ll go to multiple areas along the southwest border.”

He also explained that no one in the group is eligible for asylum because asylees must seek refuge in the first country they enter. Still, the caravan has chosen to travel through several countries to get to the United States.

Additionally, he stated, “When you’re an economic migrant, there is a lawful way to do that. And it’s not to break into our country and then file a false asylum claim.” He was not as concerned with the caravan in comparison to the daily amounts of illegal migration.

Texas Governor Greg Abbott has issued a warning to the migrant caravan that anybody caught trespassing would be arrested by state police and held in jail.

On Tuesday, Abbott tweeted, “While the Biden Administration is MIA, the Lone Star State continues to surge resources and personnel to secure our border.”

Lt. Chris Olivarez, a spokesman for the Texas Department of Public Safety, said the state has dispatched officers to the Del Rio International Bridge. More than 20,000, primarily Haitian migrants, set up camp there in September after illegally crossing the river.

Police and troops have also been deployed to Eagle Pass, a small town about 50 miles southeast of Del Rio.

Olivarez believes the migrants will travel to the Del Rio section of Yuma because it “would be the path of least resistance and you don’t have a heavy presence of cartel activity in Acuna, right across from Del Rio.” The cartels charge each migrant approximately $1,000 to cross the U.S.-Mexico border. Migrants will avoid these fees by crossing portions of the border where the cartels are less active.

While this caravan isn’t the first, it is the largest group to form since Joe Biden took office in January.

The biggest caravan to travel to the border was in 2018 when more than 5,000 migrants made it to Tijuana, Baja California, across the border from San Diego, California and a group of about 1,000 people attempted to rush the border.

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